Recap…Big Picture

We lightened up or got out of most of our positions today.

First they jammed a lot of people today during a very thin time of day after London’s close. Many weak market participants were run out of their long stock positions with forced liquidation accompanied by margin selling in the Metals. I am still bearish equities but sometimes it pays to lighten up. A rally from here would not be undeserved. Second, equity indices expire this week making for some difficult price action ( markets can be very hard to trade).

There is a huge end game setting up for the end of the qtr. ( this months close). A close under 1249 in SEP S&P 2192 Nasd ( Sep), 76940 Russell, and 89840 Midcap would signal the start of a more serious down. So yes we lightened up, but the big game is not until month end. The following are a few instruments with similar patterns unfolding: PAAS (30.66), Cat (92.30), DE (81.80), SLW (28.85). Closing under these levels are outside reversal patterns to the downside. Price negative patterns. While XOM, CVX have qtrly double tops.

This entry was posted in Archive and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.