Stocks...
SPU’s …need sustained price action back under 1954 to weaken.
1972 is today’s resistance and closing upside pivot.
GOOGL…needs sustained price action and a close over 591 to held propel the indices higher.VIX…13.55 is support where the 50 & 200 DMA cross. Closing below is bullish equities.
ASX 200…needs closes over 5340 to attract buyers.
Bonds …
FX…
EURO…125.80 puts in another small reversal to the upside. 126.80 is the mean downtrend. Euro would need a couple of closes over this level to run out longer term shorts.
USD/JPY...will need back under 108.65 close for the Yen to weaken. Yen completely negated the risk off pattern on Friday matching Yen weakness with Spu strength.
AUD/USD…the 88.10 closing momentum level from last Thursday is now at app 87.75
Commodities…
Gold… the long term sell stops are @ 1179.
Silver…should get sticky near 16.30. It needs over 17.50 to rally anywhere.
Crude… A closed under 90.58 putting in an ORL week. Point & figure shows consolidation in the Oil. It needs above 90.58 for higher of below 89.30 for lower.
Soybeans…are trying to bottom. Beans gain upside momentum over 9.27 targeting 95.50 and then 10.00.
JJG…has been oversold for a while. The daily looks like it could rally to 34 for a start.
35.50-36 is in the cards if the Soybeans start a run toward $10 to fill the last big gap on the charts.
General Comments or Valuable Insight
The Dollar is in profit taking mode causing a bid to the precious metals and the Oil.
Gold failed to elect the macro sell stops in Asia.
Macro sell stop levels can always be the catalyst for directional traps. Care should be exercised since the metals are very oversold.
The Grains are in play again with the Wheat set up for a rally to 5.14
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Current Positions….
Short EURO 128.76 127.60 122
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Today’s Working Orders
BUY EURO @ 122.40 GTC…This is a closing trade.
