A.M. Look 11/4/14

Stocks...
Nasd 100…you want to buy this Index between 4100-20 with a tight stop.
Nikkei…could retrace to 16,450 and still keep the monthly ORH pattern intact.
The resting buy stops are @ 18,365 with a tgt just shy of 20,000 for this initial move

Bonds

30 Yr. Futures… Price action over 142.10 resistance is needed for higher.
Closes under 140.00, as seen on the monthly chart, is needed for higher rates.
BUND…151.83 should be monitored for a potential head & shoulder formation.
Having said that, there is no upside to German rates until you see closes under 150.00
FX…
Euro…126.05 is today’s resistance. Sell rallies.

Commodities
Natgas….3.73 is support and the closing downside pivot for the rest of the year. Natty put in an ORH week and is following through to the upside. 4.21 is resistance.
3.86 is the monthly close and should be used as the short term pivot for all trading.
Brent…82.50 is measured Fib support, 50% of the past 6 years. I have lower targets.
Sell rallies against 84.50.
WTI…the same matching level in crude comes in around 73.50. The next set of qtrly stops lie @ 74.95.

General Comments or Valuable Insight

The board is in back and fill mode except for the Oil which continues it’s downward slide.

I’m looking for consolidation into Thursday A.M. Central Bank releases.
JJG is in profit taking mode. We’ll leave the stop working as a closing order.
The weekly chart shows a break to 35.40 is possible.
This will take time to develop.
Don’t fight the flow today. Trade the opening ranges!
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Current Positions….

                                                              Entry     Stop              TGT
Long  JJG                                          37.00    36.80 close    42.40

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Today’s Trades

 

BUY EUR/JPY @ 141.25
141104_053957_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_USA_-_30yr_US_Treasury_Bonds_(Globex)_Monthly_Continuation
141104_054016_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_USA_-_30yr_US_Treasury_Bonds_(Globex)_Weekly_Continuation
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