A.M. Look 2/4/16

Stocks...

AMZN...closed below it’s 200 DMA for the first time since Dec 2014.

GOOGL...a good close below 735 is needed for another big sell off
XLI…as long as this sector holds a sell off into the low 49’s and does not close below
it has room on the upside.
Bonds..
30 yr….The low risk daily buy level is 161.11
Bonds weaken with a close below.
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FX…
CAD/JPY ...anything into 86.92 (last years close) will be an exit zone the first time up.
Closes over this level are needed to extend.

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Canada Futures…

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Euro…112.40 ish is where the Oct breakdown came from for a the move to 106.
This is a big closing resistance level.
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DXE…the index is coming into Fib support and the closing downside pivot matching the 112.40 resistance level in the Euro.
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Commodities…

 

Gold…1158 is the matching breakdown level with the Euro.

 

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Crude…weakens under 31.53. 33 is today’s resistance and the upside pivot.Inline image 8

General Comments or Valuable Insight.
​Last night in Sydney“Ten-year yields are likely to go up,” Jan Hatzius, chief economist for Goldman Sachs, said at a conference in Sydney. The “bond market is underestimating to a significant degree the amount of monetary normalization that we’re likely to see.” The benchmark yield will rise to about 3 percent by year-end, he said, from 1.91 percent Thursday.
Everybody has got an opinion. Trade the levels in front of you.
Equities remain a sector game with Utilities and high dividend paying stocks in clear bull trends against the high flyers of last year which keep getting pounded on rallies.

http://yragharris.com/2016/02/03/saysomething/

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