A.M. Look 11/18/15

Stocks...

Spu’s… 2040 is today’s support and downside pivot. 2061 is resistance.
A close over 2067 is needed for higher.
NFLX…has rallied 18% from Monday’s low. 118.80 is extremely overbought. It’s also a retest of the weekly breakdown # from Aug 10th. 115.25 has to hold on retraces to maintain the current bid tone. 125 is in the cards if it maintains into year end.

Bonds …


30 yr. Bonds...short covering begins above 154.04 resistance. Look to be a seller @ 155.10. It would take a close over 156.00 to turn the Bonds up. anything above 155.10 the first time up I’ll look to fade.
FX…

Euro…has a double top and a double bottom on the daily chart. Buy stops are above 106.93-Sell Stops below 106.34.

Euro might not get any higher than the early London high of 106.93​.

Trend resistance is 107.69.
Which ever way it resolves I’d be cognizant that either breakout might not follow through.

Commodities…

Gold…had one intra day 50% retrace bounce yesterday into 1073. 1972.30 is the qtrly ORL#. Gold remains weak below targeting just below 1000. Short covering begins above.

I need to see Gold stay under 1073-4.
OIL…(Z) sustained price action is needed over 42.20 for any attempt higher making 41.90 (the high of value on the Point & figure) as good a place as any mid-week to look for a high.
The December contract expires on Friday. January is now front month with a $1.10 premium over DEC.
 

General Comments or Valuable Insight.

 

​It’s the mid-week shuffle with all eyes awaiting the Fed minutes​ this afternoon.
Don’t chase early direction in the Indices up or down.

A hawkish Fed will see the Dollar rally and the Gold sell off.

Gold..

151118_052903_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_GCE_-_Gold_(Globex)_Active_Quarterly

December Crude

151118_053306_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_CLEZ5_-_Crude_Light_(Globex)_Dec_15_Point_&_Figure_25x3_Ticks

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