A.M. Look 7/31/14

Stocks...

GPRO,TSLA,EXPELNKD,TMC,XOM & COP will report earnings today.
Bonds
30 yr. Bonds…Price action and a close under 137.22 is needed for confirmation of a high. Bonds have to keep rejecting this level on rallies which is the weekly ORL #.
138.02 is the monthly ORH # for the Sept futures. We need to see a close below this level Thursday or we’re too soon on this trade.

137.00 +- a couple of ticks is weekly mvg avg support.

136.23 should be used as an exit zone the first time down.
TBT…60 +- a few ticks should roughly line up with the 30 yr. levels.
FX…
USD/JPY….is caught between two macro levels, 103.10 & 102.10 (98.10-97.15 futures) sell rallies not breaks.

Commodities

OIL…98.90 is weekly support.Closes below this level can lead to a much deeper correction.
Gold…it’s all about the unemployment number tomorrow. It either holds a break and starts a seasonal rally or it doesn’t.
No change…leave the stop work.

General Comments or Valuable Insight

I’ve given you the technical s in the 30 Yr and TBT. These levels will not change.

Today is month end which means you’ll be using today’s closes as your pivots for market bias for tomorrow into next week.
We sold 70% of the TBT 1 Aug 59.50 calls yesterday @ 66.
We’re hoping these go deep in the money on tomorrow’s close.
…………………………………………………………………………………….
Current Positions….                                 Entry           Stop                    TGT

Long GLD                                          125       123.80   Stp Close
Long TBT AUG 1 59.50 Call      .29

……………………………………………………………………………

Today’s Working Orders

SELLGLD @ 123.80 Stop Close “GTC”

140730_205641_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_USA_-_30yr_US_Treasury_Bonds_(Globex)_Weekly_Continuation

140730_205254_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_CLEU4_-_Crude_Light_(Globex)_Sep_14_Weekly

140730_210716_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_S_TBT_-_ProShares_UltraShort_20+_Year_Treasury_Daily

140730_211104_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_CLE_-_Crude_Light_(Globex)_Weekly_Continuation

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