A.M. Look 11/19/15

Stocks...

Spu’s… 2097.75 was last Wednesday’s high and this weeks ORH #, near term support is 2072.
DAX..is breaking above it’s 200 DMA. 11,050 is near term support.
GOOGL…766.35 is the only # that can reject. This has the potential to trap Longs the first time up with price rejection, however closing over that level opens up the way for a year end rip higher.

Bonds


30 yr. Bonds...short covering begins above 154.04 resistance. Look to be a seller @ 155.10. It would take a close over 156.00 to turn the Bonds up. anything above 155.10 the first time up I’ll look to fade.
The short end of the curve is reacting as expected to a tightening, the Long end quite the opposite.
FX…

All the Dollar bulls got ripped after the minutes with profit taking from a very crowded trade.

DXE…a failure to hold 99.20 on a closing basis will lead to more Long dollar liquidation.
 
AUD/USD...two closes over 71.90 is needed for an upside breakout. Futures presently trade @ an App 10 tick discount to cash.
USD/JPY…123.00 ( 81.32 Futures) is resistance and the upside pivot for more profit taking.
 

Commodities…

General Comments or Valuable Insight.

​Yesterday was the Coup De Grace for Equity bears.
The jury is still out for the Dollar.
I’ll go back to what I wrote at the end of the first qtr.

2nd qtr 2015…Medium Term View

Euro has given us everything we were expecting this qtr, which was
another 20-figure move.We now see the Euro as an opportunistic 2-way range trade. Our work
shows we need to see all new closing weakness under 106 for another
swing lower.
GOOGL
151119_051446_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_S_GOOGL_-_Alphabet_Inc_Class_A_Daily
AUD/USD
151119_052147_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_IAUDUSD_-_Australia_(Dollar)_Index_Daily
Yen Futures
151119_053500_CQG_Integrated_Client_Chart_JY6_-_Japanese_Yen_(Globex)_Active_Daily_Continuation
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