A.M. Look 1/23/15

Stocks...

SPU’s…need a close above 2065 to start another leg higher. 2035 is pattern support.
The point & figure shows congestion between 2061-2072. Let the market work through this level. It’s not a great spot to initiate new longs.
Nasd 100…gains upside momentum with a close over 4265.

GS…182.00 is the upside momentum #.

DIG…by holding 50.50 look for a test 52.95-53.20 then 55.
Bonds

30 Yr. Futures...the carry trade continues. This continues to be the favorite way for Non-U.S. investors to Buy dollars selling Euro ect via buying our Treasuries.

As long as the 30 remains above 149.10 it will remain bid.
 
FX…

USD/JPY…a close over 118.90 is needed to confirm more downside in the Yen.(under 84.10 Futures).


Commodities…

OIL…is biding time on the point & figure chart trading in a 3 dollar range. price action under 45.75 is needed for another flush lower.

General Comments or Valuable Insight

 

I bought Deutsche Bank (DB) as a surrogate long on the DAX.
GILD...put in an ORH day. The Full swing from today is 20 dollars higher via the stranded close @ 108.45 (first macro resistance and the closing upside pivot.)
 
Markets have come a long way over the past 4 sessions.
Spu’s & Nasd have rallied to unchanged on the year since Friday’s early London low.
It was a big standard deviation move, one that needs to digest.

Today can be a back and fill day in front of Sunday’s Greek vote.
I thought Yen had a chance to add to the Dollar dance last night.It needed to do it in the Asian session last night where it went right back to it’s pivot and stopped like a rock.
It’s just the wrong way on the crosses for now.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

Current Positions….              Entry     Stop      TGT

LONG DB                                  30.24    29 Close

LONG GILD                              105.14  103.50 Close
​SHORT​ JYAH                             84.52

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