In January, our models went neutral. At that time we went defensive equities and favored the long side of Gold and Treasuries. In April, our Risk Models turned positive allowing us to favor being long equities.Our Risk Models have now gone neutral once again. Part of what we see is a glaring divergence between winners and losers in this most recent rally. The gap in rationale for owning specific sectors and names reflects the disparity between brick and mortar vs. digital. Therefore, we believe lumping the entire market into group thought will be damaging to your bottom line.
To be clear, we expect volatility to remain heightened over the near term. This will provide investors and traders with opportunity on both the long and short side of the market.
Our Risk Models help keep us directionally right, and our Matrix and targeting work helps us understand where the market wants to go. These same models give us the vision to see where the potential potholes can materialize. In short, this helps us understand where to add and subtract risk with a high degree of certainty.
No investing process is perfect but our process is reliable and repeatable. Whether you are a day trader or long term investor, we can help you stay ahead of consensus.
As is typical with market corrections, they seemingly come out of nowhere catching most investors off-guard. This most recent severe correction which began at the end of February 2020 was the mirror image of fourth quarter 2018 correction. However, clients of WhiteWave were forewarned with enough time to prepare. Why? Because WhiteWave has a reliable and repeatable process developed over a forty year period.
Most recently, our proprietary Risk Models were able to identify the risks forming in January 2018 suggesting a very high probability of an increase in volatility. This gave WhiteWave clients sufficient time to take defensive measures to protect their portfolios depending upon their trading style. Our clientele consists of Retail Investors, RIA’s, and Hedge Funds; each with a different approach. Some trimmed long positions, others bought Put options while others used Inverse ETFs as a hedge. Regardless of their approach they were prepared and profited from our process.
The WhiteWave process employs elements of price, volatility, Matrix Levels, risk spreads, among others, across multiple duration. We measure and record the data for U.S. stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Oil, Gold Commodities, and Foreign Stocks & Bonds.
Our models enable us to distinguish between a market correction vs. a bear market. Throughout 2017 when many continually called for a market top, our models kept long-only and RIA clients invested through January 2018. At which point our models detected rising risks as described above. For active traders our intraday alerts provide trading levels for day-traders and those wishing to trade counter-trend moves.
WhiteWave June Update for Long-Term Investors /RIA’s
The last week of June our models went neutral.
We have a very specific set of parameters for a model change. We expect volatility to remain heightened.
Investing is a selective opportunistic trading affair.
Big Cap Tech names, with the Swiss National Bank buying tailwind, have been the easiest prey to hunt. We’ll revisit these names when our models start to turn up again.
We’re expecting another round of fiscal stimulus.
You can access Whitewave’s Youtube channel and listen to Yra discuss
The Youtubes are a free PHD in Global Macro Investing!
These are real time conversations where our RIA community has outperformed the industry.
The RIA’s in this room are up money with the rest of the Industry down or just getting back to where they were before the Covid led decline began.
The case for the Gold rally has been a hot topic since last summer.
We’ve been speaking about the risk in the Equity Markets for a few months before the market tanked. There is near term risk again.
Yra and I set up the scenario and the trigger.
It’s was the same in 2007-08.
WhiteWave June Update for Short-Term Investors
Judd’s Room has been actively trading Indices with macro insight from Yra Harris.Judd’s Room provides a venue for longer-term investors and RIA’s to get a traders view point on the market.
This provides a venue for discussion to find better entry for tactical positions.
Our focus remains on buying hard breaks in Gold, Gold & Silver Miners and Bonds as it has been for the past several months.
Below is a video explaining our methodology published By Financial Repression Authorities Richard Bonughli.
Richard has access to the finest Global Macro thinkers in the world. The interviews are free and I consider them mandatory listening.
I’m humbled that he spends some of his valuable time in the Room.
There is absolutely no reason to be opinionated with the frequency of standard deviation moves.
We have a price template called the Matrix Sheet. We are simply trading from one level to the next, which can be over 100 points in between levels in the S&P 500.
Room members have been trading the Indices and names from the Long side for the past 2 Months.
Over the past week and a half we’ve been selling the Russell & S&P 500 against the Nasd 100.
The Nasd lost momentum Friday. We remain vigilant for buying opportunities that match up with our models.
The Room is a sum of its parts.
I wish to thank the Room participants for some very profitable trades in AAPL,MSFT, Semi Conductors, Cyber Security and Healthcare.
Homework and preparation is key to successful investing.
WhiteWave utilizes a Technical Template for Long-Term Investing. Boundaries with a high degree of certainty.
This same template is scalable for short-term trading revealing high probability opportunities multiple times a day.
WhiteWave keeps you executing timely trades from the right side of the market with measured risk parameters.New Feature
Daily Chat Room;
A live forum for Investors and Traders where we discuss current capital flows, instruments by request, and charts.
We feature 1-2 low risk opportunities a day.
Q4 2017-Q1 2018 Chronology of trades
Click on the link to learn more or get back on our mailing list.
May Fan Mail:
I followed you for 3 months before I subscribed to the matrix #’s.
It’s been life changing.
Daily Market Intelligence Report is designed to feature high probability setups for next day trade.
The secret sauce to my work are the matrix #’s which are presented in a spread sheet.
Your service and the layers of insight that come from you and the group are truly invaluable. As an advisor with a more long-term focus, at first I had questioned how this information and data would really benefit my practice. It did not take long to see the value. You called the downside/correction in late 2018 perfectly. As a reminder, I started subscribing in September of that year. I did not completely reap the benefits because I was still new and learning, but I quickly became educated to what you were seeing and the why and how you were making your calls. Fast forward a year and the market has been on a tear. I know my old self would be telling clients to be more cautious and sell off more equities, but I haven’t. They have been reaping the benefits and seeing their equity portfolios continue to grow. This doesn’t even speak to the added value of the group in the room. The insights provided there is extraordinary. Thank you!
All the Best,
David L. Zinck
Thanks again for your great pick on the Spy Puts
Easier to tolerate the volatility.
Thanks to your Daily Market Intelligence reports I am becoming much better trader. There is no BS there! Just great down to the point analysis.
Thanks for the update.
Please know, I appreciate your spot on reports.
You’ve been smoking hot!
Keep your feedback coming.