As is typical with market corrections, they seemingly come out of nowhere catching most investors off-guard. This most recent correction which began early October was no exception. However, clients of WhiteWave were forewarned with enough time to prepare. Why? Because WhiteWave has a reliable and repeatable process developed over a forty year period.
The proprietary Risk Models that were able to identify the risks forming in January 2018 flashed red the end of September. Our published 2018 upside price target for S&P 500 @ 2965 missed by a mere 20 Points.
Thin late December holiday markets registered dramatically oversold readings. We saw signs that our technical model was trying to turn up the last week of December.
As a result we switched to a buy before you sell mode on 12-26-18 looking for a bear market rally. Our risk models confirmed the turn 1-2-19.
This gave WhiteWave clients sufficient time to adjust their portfolios depending upon their trading style. Our clientele consists of Retail Investors, RIA’s, and Hedge Funds; each with a different approach. Some added long positions, others bought Call options while others used ETFs to add exposure. Regardless of their approach they were prepared and profited from our process.
The WhiteWave process employs elements of price, volatility, Matrix Levels, risk spreads, among others, across multiple duration. We measure and record the data for U.S. stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Oil, Gold Commodities, and Foreign Stocks & Bonds.
Our models enable us to distinguish between a market correction vs. a bear market. Throughout 2017 when many continually called for a market top, our models kept long-only and RIA clients invested through January 2018. At which point our models detected rising risks as described above. Our models signaled the same breakdown the first week of October. For active traders our intraday alerts provide trading levels for those wishing to trade counter-trend moves.
No system is perfect, but our process is reliable and repeatable with models designed to improve the probability of success. Whether you are a day trader or long term investor, we can help you stay ahead of consensus.
12/26/18 WhiteWave recommended that RIA’s beat the rush and buy long exposure before first of year Mutual Fund buyers.
1/2/19 our technical models turned positive for the first time since mid October. The Risk models went from Bearish to Neutral.
We were looking for an initial 160 Point S&P rally to just shy of 2500.
1/9/19 we published an addendum to the rally stating two god closes over 2500 would elect another rally of similar length
posting 2670 as the next upside target.
What began as a rally in a Bear market has turned into a chase for Risk assets.
Our view is that reasonable earnings would be met with a positive response due to the depth of December’s sell off.
WhiteWave February 2019 Update for Long-Term Investors /RIA’s
Medium-term view; we have hit upside Index objectives.
Going into February we’re expecting names to out preform the Indices.
We’re back in a trading environment where risk management is imperative.
The Indices have only paused at resistance levels for a day or two.
The macro theme is slowing growth and lower earnings.
We’re sticking with our macro playbook focusing on support and low risk buy entries across all asset classes.
Judd’s Room 2019 January Update for Short-term Investors
We came into January expecting Index buying.
12/26/18 we moved to a “buy before you sell” bias due to the oversold condition of the market.
WhiteWave January 2019 Update for Short-Term Investors
1/2 Long Spy @ 2.46.12
Sold Spy @ 246.89
1/4 Long EWZ @ 41.04
Sold EWZ @ 41.89
1/8 Sold TLT @ 121.57
Long TLT 121 Jan11 Put @ .31
1/9 Bought TLT @ 121.10
Sold TLT 121 Jan11 Put @ .36
1/10 Long SPY @ 256.70
Sold SPY @ 258.02 app 20 S&P points
1/15 Featured UNH as a buy anywhere (after-before earnings)
SHOP & ADSK featured. Bid for Shopify mid spread was unfilled @ 151.56
7 dollars up in a straight line.
1/16 Bought and sold VXX & SPY for a push.
Long PBR @ 15.18
Long SQQQ @ 13.94
1/17 Sold SQQQ premarket @ 14.21 app 48 Nasd points.
Long MSFT @ 105.51
Sold MSFT @ 105.95 after meeting seeing the Nasd & AMZN high
Long EWG @ 26.14
1/18 Sold EWG @ 26.58
Sold 1/2 PBR @ 15.55
1/23 Long Spy Jan 30 Puts @ $1.91
Sold 50 % @ 2.19
Sold 50 % @ 2.70 app 20 S&P points
Long SMH @ 91.08
Sold SMH @ 91.08 next day it gaped up 5%
1/25 Long GLD Feb Call @ $1.02
1/30 Sold 25% GLD Feb Call @ 1.82
Sold 75% GLD Feb Call @ 2.48 app 30 Dollars basis Futures
1/31 Long AMD @ 23.43
Sold AMD @ 24.09 rallied 2 dollars in a straight line.
Long VXXB @ 35.82
2/1 Sold VXXB @ 35.82 pre market
WhiteWave keeps you executing timely trades through the use of proper trade location.
Daily Chat Room
A live forum for Investors and Traders where we discuss current capital flows, instruments by request, and charts.
We feature 1-2 low risk opportunities a day.
Q4 2017-Q1 2018 Chronology of trades
If you’d like to learn more you can click on the research link to our site or just call.
Click on the link to learn more or get back on our mailing list.
January Fan Mail;
Judd I really enjoy your trading room. I find all your comments to be worthwhile
and demonstrate a deep understanding of how markets work.
I wish I had joined you sooner!
The exposure we receive from just reading does not do your work justice.
I find that you use a totally different terminology and approach that needs time for newbies like me to grasp and appreciate.
For me its all the comments you make in the room to explain and provide depth to the analysis.
I feel I’m at the beginning of the learning curve for what you are presenting. I will not make many comments but rest assured I am paying close attention to what you are saying.
Keep up the good work and have patience with beginners like me.
It always amazes me that you’ll give a target in an instrument that seems improbable and then the level is traded.
I’ve learned to trust what I hear. I’ve seen it happen too many times to still be skeptical!
Nice trade in the Gold! Wish I was on board.
Now what do I do with my Bitcoin Longs @ 19,000 🙂
Keep your feedback coming.
We are open to comments as we continually strive to make our product better.