Tag Archives: Risk Off Trade

SDS…S&P 500 Futures…Risk Off

This has been a big trading market all year. There is no reason to think it won’t continue. That being said, you have to take your shots at the 6-8% trades when they avail themselves. That means selling the rallies … Continue reading

SDS…S&P 500 Futures…Timing

21.72-21.33 corresponds to the Futures level in the S&P 500 of 1197.50-1206.50. You’ve got an hour left in this capital flow. Then, short term guys can start looking for possible contra-directional moves in the equity indices.  

A.M. Look 11/23/11

SPU’s..1171-1166 is a significant level. Generally areas like this are directional ( Bear) traps the first time into the zone. However closing below a level like this is quite Bearish. 1153 is the next Fib level. There is a very … Continue reading

A.M. Look 11/21/11

It’s a Risk Off World! There are just too many factors weighing on the markets. We’re all cash and we’re staying that way! Investors who wish to bottom fish in the metals should wait. There is every fundamental reason for … Continue reading

Crude Oil…Pattern Alert

A close below 98.43 on the all session chart puts in an outside reversal day to the downside. This would signal additional Risk Off to come.  

A.M. Look 11/17/11

I’m feeling like I’m in a bad B movie, and Boris Karloff has strapped me to the rack in his torture chamber. OIL…Needs all new strength over last nights high or under 101.50 for weakness. Gold…We’re standing pat for our … Continue reading

S&P…Risk Off

The #’s have not changed for the downside. Mid to low teens… 1205-07 is a cover the first time down… We will exit 1/2 of our short S&P position just above this zone! Place your orders accordingly! Only a close … Continue reading

A.M. Look 10/26/11

We went short the equities yesterday. At this point, our risk is negligible to see if this can turn into more than a 1 day sell off. Same stops as yesterday. Canada has re-tested the reversal level of 101.02 USD/CAD … Continue reading

30 Yr. Bonds…Risk Off

The board is clearly RISK OFF since we wrote about the matches early this A.M. AUD/JPY…failed at 80.00, another key market Tell. This cross has been a great Risk barometer. It has been acting as a leading stock indicator. When … Continue reading

A.M. Look 10/25/11

94.80 ish is the 200 day mvg avg in the oil. 136.15 is the downside tgt in the U.S. 30 Yr. Bonds The Bunds are hanging around their downside closing pivot. The front month S&P 500 Futures are getting close … Continue reading